Strong Electricity Production in China

By Jeffrey Landsberg

As we discussed in Commodore Research's most recent Weekly Executive Report, China’s coal production totaled 397.2 million tons in May.  This is up month-on-month by 11.6 million tons (3%) but is down year-on-year by 6.1 million tons (-2%).  Remaining very significant is that the last time there was any year-on-year growth was in June.  Before this stretch, China’s coal production had grown on a year-on-year basis for thirteen straight months.

Coal-derived electricity generation totaled 472.6 billion kilowatt hours.  This is up month-on-month by 8.8 billion kilowatt hours (2%) and is up year-on-year by 11.1 billion kilowatt hours (2%).  Very helpful for coal import demand and the dry bulk market is that China's coal-derived electricity generation has now fared better than coal production for five straight months.  Before these last five months, China's coal-derived electricity generation had fared worse than domestic coal production in three of the prior four months.

Total electricity production reached 784.3 billion kilowatt hours.  This is up month-on-month by 40.3 billion kilowatt hours (5%) and is up year-on-year by 46.5 billion kilowatt hours (6%).  This has marked the strongest year-on-year growth since October.